The big Oscar night is next Sunday, where we’ll find out if Natalie can get over the final big hurdle and bring home the Best Actress award. The final day for ballots is Tuesday (same for The Charlies!) and Deadline has a new piece about how the races are shaping up.

Here are their thoughts on the Actress category.

This is said to be Natalie Portman’s to lose with all of those precursor awards she’s been winning. But voters are not thinking landslide. In fact, in my informal surveys with Academy voters, every one of the five nominees including Nicole Kidman, Michelle Williams, and Jennifer Lawrence, have been mentioned quite a few times. This indicates no runaway by frontrunner Portman or her closest rival Annette Bening. So those last minute ads for Portman may not be such a bad idea.